Matchup Analysis UFC FN 53 Nelson-Story

  UFC Fight Night 53 October 4, 2014 Welterweight Matchup: Gunnar Nelson vs Rick Story By @fightnomics   Big Picture:  It’s a UFC Double Header this weekend, and the main event from Sweden promises to promote one man up the crowded Welterweight division ranks, while the main event later in the evening from Halifax could determine the next title contender in that division. With Gunnar Nelson headlining his first UFC card, it’s clear that he is thought to be one of the top European fighters on the roster, and therefore someone that could be pushing his way into contention within the...

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Matchup Analysis UFC 178 Masvidal-Krause

  UFC 178 September 27, 2014 Lightweight Matchup: Jorge Masvidal vs James Krause By@fightnomics   Big Picture:  It’s fun when I get to look at preliminary fights because a fight card is so stacked that experienced and ranked fighters will be competing all over the program. So before we get to the main card at UFC 178, Jorge Masvidal and James Krause will face off in a matchup that could affect the division rankings. The #12 ranked lightweight Jorge Masvidal is clearly favored at -360, with the underdog James Krause +300. It’s a steep line, so let’s see if the numbers support...

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MMA Live on ESPN Breakdowns for UFC 178

  I joined MMA Live on ESPN once again to look at two more fights from the stacked UFC 178 card this weekend. With one title on the line, the rest of the main card all has ranked fighters competing, with each fight carrying title implications for numerous divisions in 2015. So we put the statistical spotlight onto two key matchups, and me and Brett Okamoto discuss the paths to victory. In both matchups the lower ranked fighter is favored. So where do we see the upset potential? Here’s the breakdown on #5 Dustin Poirier vs #9 Conor McGregor: click for...

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ESPN MMA Live Flyweight Title Video Preview for UFC 178

  I joined Todd Grisham and Brett Okamoto MMA Live on ESPN to start the discussion about the upcoming Flyweight title fight between Demetrious Johnson and Chris Cariaso at UFC 178. Hard to believe that Johnson is the third longest reigning champion in the UFC, and the only man to ever hold this title. Click to watch the video:   Here are the stats shown during this segment. It’s important to note that Cariaso maintains a high pace and likes to come forward. But Johnson is very elusive and has shown good counter-striking, so this scenario could play into an advantage for the...

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UFC FN51 Matchup Analysis – Tibau vs Hallman

  UFC Fight Night 51 September 13, 2014 Lightweight Matchup: Gleison Tibau vs Piotr Hallman By@fightnomics   Big Picture:  One of the most experienced veterans of the UFC’s core lightweight division is facing off with a flashy newcomer from one of the UFC’s newest markets (Poland) when Gleison Tibau faces Piotr Hallman. The home-cage fighter Tibau has climbed to a -230 favorite, with Hallman the underdog at +170. The Brazilian has been competitive for a long time in the UFC, mainly going to decisions, while the Polish challenger has rarely ever seen the scorecards. Who should win,...

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UFC FN 51 Matchup Analysis – Bedford vs Yahya

  UFC Fight Night 51 September 13, 2014 Featherweight Matchup: Johnny Bewdford vs Rani Yahya By@fightnomics   Big Picture:  In a rematch of an unfortunate No Contest result just a few months ago, Bantamweights Johnny Bedford and Rani Yahya are headed back to the cage to settle the score. Both unranked fighters have losses mixed in with their recent No Contest, making their placement at the bottom of the prelims a possible hint from management that they may also be fighting for their jobs. Desperate times can make for desperate fighting, and their history together could also ratchet up...

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