UFC on FOX15 Matchup Analysis St-Preux vs Cummins

  It’s a matchup that has led to a well-publicized $1000 bet between members of the MMA community. It’s also a matchup between two ranked Light Heavyweights coming off of wins in a division in sore need of new contenders post Jones-Rumble. Currently, the #15 ranked Cummins is the slight favorite at -140, with the higher #8 ranked St-Preux the underdog at +110. The lines are tight, the ranks are flipped, and guests of the Joe Rogan podcast are now on opposing sides of $1000. So what do the numbers say, and which side should you be taking?   Summary Stats: To see more Uber Tales of...

read more

UFC on FOX15 Matchup Analysis Souza vs Camozzi

  Last week in Poland a fighter got to avenge a loss in dramatic fashion. This week in Newark, Chris Camozzi steps up on short notice to return to the UFC, only to face Ronaldo Souza who submitted him just two years ago. The market has taken a rather harsh stance on this matchup, not giving much chance at all for Camozzi to get any redemption. Perhaps that’s because his loss to Souza kicked off a four-fight losing skid that resulted in his exit to the regional scene, while Souza has won four straight and is now a top contender. Regardless, Yoel Romero’s injury and late-notice matchup...

read more

UFC FN64 Matchup Analysis Gonzaga vs Cro Cop

  A rematch nearly eight years in the making will headline the UFC’s first trip to Poland, and the theme of card will be “uncertainty.” Not only are ten fighters on the card making their first UFC appearance, but Mirko Filipovic (aka “Cro Cop”) won’t have graced the Octagon with his presence in 1,243 days. Gonzaga opened a mild favorite, and despite some volatility has settled at -170, with the underdog Cro Cop at +150. It was Gonzaga who prevailed in their first meeting. Despite being a +400 underdog at UFC 70, Gonzaga landed a head kick TKO that effectively “Cro Cop’d...

read more

UFC 185 Fantasy Game Preview

  In fantasy MMA there’s no more valuable a rule than “bang for your buck.” Fighters who manage to score lots of knockouts or submissions normally come at a premium, so the trick is to hunt for finishing potential in fighters that are reasonably priced. To rack up big points, you need winners and finishers. The other helpful factor is the betting line, because heavy favorites do indeed tend to win quite often. But you can’t just load up your roster with favorites; you’ll need to make some value picks on underdogs to stay within the salary cap. So in order to win your pool,...

read more

UFC184 Matchup Analysis Ferguson-Tibau

  Leading off the main card at UFC 184 is a fight between two talented Lightweights who are each striving for a spot among the rankings in the UFC’s deepest division. Veteran Gleison Tibau has faced the who’s who of the UFC dating back nearly a decade. By comparison, Tony Ferguson, who won The Ultimate Fighter Season 13 in 2011, must seem like a fresh face. Either way, only one will extend their win streak to possibly push their way into the top 15 and a boost in Reebok money. Ferguson is currently a -220 favorite over Tibau at +180. This will be a contrast of styles, so let’s look...

read more

UFC 184 Matchup Analysis Ellenberger-Koscheck

  Big Picture:  The last men competing in the Octagon at UFC 184 are two Welterweights in desperate need of a win. Jake Ellenberger may still be ranked, and Josh Koscheck was a former title contender, but both men are currently riding three fight losing streaks. For Koscheck at least, this fight could mean the end of his career, but they clearly both have a lot to fight for. The #11th ranked Ellenberger is the -200 favorite over Koscheck at +170. Stylistically the two are similar, wrestlers/power-strikers. They’ve each had moments of brilliance in the UFC Octagon, but have slid into...

read more