The Hard Numbers on the Small UFC Cage (Part 1)

Analysis of cage size effects was presented in the “Fightnomics” book, this analysis is more recent and focuses on UFC competition only.    What if you had your own MMA promotion? You could manage your own roster and even tweak some of the rules to orchestrate the perfect fight card. What would you change to maximize your objective of offering fans the most possible excitement? Would you focus on certain weight classes, or change the rules to allow soccer kicks? Would you invest in cutting edge audio and visual bells and whistles for enthralling fighter walk-ins? Or just cut all...

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New Book Cover Design

  The eBook version for Kindle is now available. Print copies are also at Amazon now. See the Book page of this website for the latest links to different versions. Here’s the cover to what will be over 300 pages worth of MMA analysis. Here’s a sneak peek at the Fightnomics book cover design. Thanks to those of you who offered feedback through the design...

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Who Wins UFC Fight Night Bonuses?

  A hot topic in the news lately has been UFC Fight Night Bonuses. This includes the end of event bonuses awarded to the Fight of the Night (FOTN), Knockout of the Night (KOTN), and Submission of the Night (SOTN). Officially Dana White says those bonuses are here to stay, which is great news for perpetually exciting fighters like Joe Lauzon. Bonuses incentivize performance, spread the wealth, and give guys who give their all for the fans an official metric for justifying their place on the Zuffa roster. I’ve already covered the timeline of awarded bonuses, so the natural next question...

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The Finish Line: How Many UFC Fights End Inside the Distance?

  How many UFC fights end inside the distance? The all-time number is 60%, which includes fights all the way back to 1993. But at the halfway point of 2013 that number is only 50% year to date. I’d say “roughly 50%” but it’s not; it’s precisely 50%. Out of 176 fights so far in 2013, 88 have been finished by (T)KO or submission. That’s exactly half. But how does that stack up with prior years in the UFC? Well, here’s the annual finish rate for UFC fights by year, with 2013 recorded through UFC 161.   The bad news for fans of highlight reel finishes is that the overall...

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Striking Assessment: UFC Middleweight Division

  The UFC Middleweight division has long been ruled by the most feared and decorated striker of all-time, champion Anderson Silva. And perhaps more so than in smaller divisions, striking has been a good predictor of success at Middleweight. So examining this division in core striking performance metrics should provide good insight to how fighters will fare against each other in standup. A full explanation of the chart and variables is included below. Now, let’s see how the whole division stacks up against each other, and look at the winners and losers. The Winners Sniper Award: Two...

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How UFC Fights End, by Weight Class and Method

  We know that size matters in MMA.  Bigger fighters finish more fights.  But bigger fighters primarily finish by strikes, so it’s not just a higher finish rate, it’s a different mix of finishes.  Finally, I’ve summarized modern UFC finishes by method and division.  All in one place.  All in one graph.   Dataset includes all UFC fights, 2006 through June of 2012, 1442 total fights *Other includes draws, no contests, injuries (eye pokes) and overturned fights   Go ahead and print that out, then put in your pocket next fight night.  And if your buddy bets...

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