UFC 229: Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov Analysis

It’s being called the biggest UFC fight ever. Certainly, criminal charges from a confrontation before the fight even begins is a new one for MMA. But unlike when athletes get chippy with each other in other sports, Conor McGregor and Khabib Nurmagomedov will eventually be locked in a cage to figure it out for themselves.

We’ve looked at this matchup a number of ways, and the stylistic contrast between McGregor and Nurmagomedov is pronounced. A “classic striker vs grappler” matchup.

Be sure to follow along on Twitter come Fight Night to see the latest odds and matchup numbers. And if you’re hosting a UFC 229 fight watch, print out some MMA Betting Squares to get everyone in on the action!

It’s important to note several things, revealing that this is an intriguing fight regardless of the hype:

  1. Conor and Khabib are two of the most effective Lightweights at delivering damage while absorbing less than this give – but they do so in very different ways.
  2. Conor’s standup striking is among the best, accurate, aggressive, and powerful….
  3. …while Khabib’s grappling is dominant and frequently utilized.

1 - Fighter Effectiveness - UFC Lightweight Division

2 - Striking Assessment Chart - UFC Lightweights

3 - Wrestling Effectiveness - UFC Lightweight Division


Let’s stack Conor and Khabib up a few other ways, just to make the point: the position of this fight will determine who wins.

Conor vs Khabib stats Conor-Khabib - Knockdowns vs Ground Control


Two days before UFC 229 goes down, the betting market is fairly close, but favoring the wrestler. But if you were to loyally bet each fighter, who would have been more profitable throughout their 10 UFC appearances to date? We took a detailed look at this over at ESPN here.

Top Betting Returns with Conor

So Khabib has a big lead on Conor, entirely due to the loss to Nate Diaz.

Here’s where their career betting earnings and ROI could land, depending on the outcome of the fight at UFC 229.

Conor-Khabib Betting Returns Graph

As always, get the Fightnomics Book if you want to understand what metrics are tracked in MMA, and how it can help you watch fights with a greater understanding.



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